New Delhi: In what comes as a big relief to farmers, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Thursday said that there was no possibility of a ‘deficient’ monsoon this year and 96 per cent chances are that the rainfall would be ‘normal to excess.’ The country as a whole is expected to receive good rainfall this year, barring north-eastern India, which is likely to witness ‘below normal’ rainfall. July and August are expected to receive 107 per cent and 104 per cent of rainfall of the Long Period Average (LPA).
Releasing the second Long Range Forecast (LRF), IMD Director General Laxman Singh Rathore said there is not much difference between the initial forecast by the agency and the monsoon season (from June to September) will receive 106 per cent of rainfall of the Long Period Average, which is ‘above normal.’ “There are zero per cent chances of the country receiving deficient rainfall while the possibility of normal to excess rainfall is 96 per cent,” Rathore said, terming the rainfall in Kerala as a ‘pre-monsoon showers.’
ENOUGH RAINS FOR PUNJAB
This monsoon season, north-west India, comprising major food producing states like Haryana and Punjab which have witnessed deficient precipitation in the last two years, will receive 108 per cent rainfall of the LPA. Central India and southern peninsula will receive 113 per cent of LPA while the north-eastern region is expected to get 94 per cent of rainfall which is ‘below normal.’ Anything less than 90 per cent of the LPA is termed as a ‘deficient’ monsoon and 90-96 per cent is rated as ‘below normal.’ Agriculture, which contributes 15 per cent to India’s GDP and employs about 60 per cent of the country’s population, is heavily dependent on the monsoon as only 40 per cent of the cultivable area is under irrigation.
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